Evgenii Tiurnev vs Nikita Mashtakov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Mashtakov's recent second serve performance shows a win rate of 47.38% of points, while Tiurnev's rate is slightly lower at 43.89%. This suggests Mashtakov might have a slight edge in this aspect.
• When it comes to return games, Mashtakov wins 47.12% of opponents' second serve points compared to Tiurnev’s 44.49%, and notably dominates the first serve returns with 32.17% over Tiurnev’s 20.65%.
• Concerning pressure situations, the breakpoint saving percentage favors Mashtakov slightly, with 51.44% over Tiurnev's 50.37%.
• Interestingly, Tiurnev has a higher overall win percentage over the last year, standing at 69.81%, while Mashtakov has 59.26%. Could this indicate a stronger overall form for Tiurnev?
• Analyzing surface preferences, Mashtakov has performed best on hard courts with a 58% win rate, whereas Tiurnev excels on indoor hard courts with a notable 69% win rate.
• Both players show strong performance in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, but Tiurnev has a superior win rate of 74% compared to Mashtakov’s 60.38%.
• Tiurnev has faced opponents with a lower average rank (424.83) over the past year compared to Mashtakov (309.94), which might have inflated his win percentage.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Tiurnev’s 60% win rate in such scenarios significantly surpasses Mashtakov’s 42%, possibly giving Tiurnev an edge in a tight match.
• In terms of breakpoint conversion, Mashtakov converts 36.36% of opportunities, outperforming Tiurnev who converts only 27.78%, a significant factor in crucial match moments.

Editorial Prediction (June 6, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the players’ current form and statistical data, Mashtakov and Tiurnev present an engaging match-up with nuanced strengths and weaknesses. Mashtakov exhibits a slight advantage in second serve performance and return game success, key areas that often determine match momentum.

However, Tiurnev outshines in his overall win rate and performs better under the pressure of a deciding set. His preference for indoor hard courts presents a strategic advantage, should the match take place on that surface.

The difference in opponent quality might skew some perceptions of skill, as Mashtakov has faced tougher opposition on average. Yet, Tiurnev's success in match completions and deciding sets is hard to overlook.

Considering these factors collectively, despite Mashtakov's strength in specific areas, the balance of Tiurnev's overall form and his performance in high-pressure situations slightly tips the scales in his favor.

Therefore, based on the analysis, Tiurnev is the likely winner for the upcoming tennis match.